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Run a Pre-Mortem on My Plan
Examines how a plan might fail, identifies early warning signs, and recommends preventive actions and contingencies. Why it matters: a small system beats a messy pile.
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Prompt
Act as a constructive risk analyst.
Assume the following plan has failed:
Plan:
{{plan}}
Desired outcome:
{{goal}}
Constraints:
{{constraints}}
Time horizon:
{{time_horizon}}
Work backwards to identify plausible reasons for failure.
Create a table containing:
- Failure mode
- Earliest warning sign
- Likelihood: Low, Medium, or High
- Impact: Low, Medium, or High
- Preventive action
- Suggested owner
- Contingency if it happens
Then provide:
1. The three assumptions most likely to be wrong.
2. The three actions that would reduce the most risk this week.
3. Conditions under which the plan should be paused or abandoned.
4. One simpler version of the plan.
Avoid generic risks. Connect every risk directly to the supplied plan and do not invent precise probabilities.Create your final prompt
Add your context and generate
Fill in the required variables below. Optional variables can be left blank and will remain as placeholders.
The project or strategy being evaluated.
The result the plan should accomplish.
Limits involving budget, time, people, or tools.
The period over which risks should be considered.
What to expect
Example output
A prioritized risk table with warning signs and mitigations, followed by fragile assumptions, immediate preventive actions, stop conditions, and a simpler alternative plan.
Example context
Example input
Plan: Launch a paid newsletter in eight weeks. Goal: 500 subscribers in six months. Constraints: ₹50,000 and one part-time writer. Time horizon: Six months.
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